default:

DMI HARMONIE

MF Arome 1.3

UKMO UK 2

DMI HARMONIE 2

MF Arome 2.5

KNMI EU 5.5

DWD ICON EU 7

UKMO Global 10

DWD ICON Global 11

MF Arpege EU 11

GFS global 13

GFS GRAPES 13

GEM Global 15

BOM ACCESS 15

GFS GraphCast 25

ECMWF IFS 25

ECMWF AIFS 28

ECMWF IFS 44

JMA gSM 55

MF Arpege 55

Modèle	DMI HARMONIE 2.5 km run: 17/06 19:19																																								IFS HD 2.5 km run: 17/06 19:19																																																																GFS 13 km run: 17/06 19:19
Date Optimal	Ma 17 15h	Ma 17 16h	Ma 17 17h	Ma 17 18h	Ma 17 19h	Ma 17 20h	Ma 17 21h	Me 18 5h	Me 18 6h	Me 18 7h	Me 18 8h	Me 18 9h	Me 18 10h	Me 18 11h	Me 18 12h	Me 18 13h	Me 18 14h	Me 18 15h	Me 18 16h	Me 18 17h	Me 18 18h	Me 18 19h	Me 18 20h	Me 18 21h	Je 19 5h	Je 19 6h	Je 19 7h	Je 19 8h	Je 19 9h	Je 19 10h	Je 19 11h	Je 19 12h	Je 19 13h	Je 19 14h	Je 19 15h	Je 19 16h	Je 19 17h	Je 19 18h	Je 19 19h	Je 19 20h	Je 19 21h	Ve 20 5h	Ve 20 6h	Ve 20 7h	Ve 20 8h	Ve 20 9h	Ve 20 10h	Ve 20 11h	Ve 20 12h	Ve 20 13h	Ve 20 14h	Ve 20 15h	Ve 20 16h	Ve 20 17h	Ve 20 18h	Ve 20 19h	Ve 20 20h	Ve 20 21h	Sa 21 5h	Sa 21 6h	Sa 21 7h	Sa 21 8h	Sa 21 9h	Sa 21 10h	Sa 21 11h	Sa 21 12h	Sa 21 13h	Sa 21 14h	Sa 21 15h	Sa 21 16h	Sa 21 17h	Sa 21 18h	Sa 21 19h	Sa 21 20h	Sa 21 21h	Di 22 5h	Di 22 6h	Di 22 7h	Di 22 8h	Di 22 9h	Di 22 10h	Di 22 11h	Di 22 12h	Di 22 13h	Di 22 14h	Di 22 15h	Di 22 16h	Di 22 17h	Di 22 18h	Di 22 19h	Di 22 20h	Di 22 21h	Lu 23 5h	Lu 23 6h	Lu 23 7h	Lu 23 8h	Lu 23 9h	Lu 23 10h	Lu 23 11h	Lu 23 12h	Lu 23 13h	Lu 23 14h	Lu 23 15h	Lu 23 16h	Lu 23 17h	Lu 23 18h	Lu 23 19h	Lu 23 20h	Lu 23 21h	Ma 24 5h	Ma 24 6h	Ma 24 7h	Ma 24 8h	Ma 24 9h	Ma 24 10h	Ma 24 11h	Ma 24 12h	Ma 24 13h	Ma 24 14h	Ma 24 15h	Ma 24 16h	Ma 24 17h	Ma 24 18h	Ma 24 19h	Ma 24 20h	Ma 24 21h	Me 25 5h	Me 25 6h	Me 25 7h	Me 25 8h	Me 25 9h	Me 25 10h	Me 25 11h	Me 25 12h	Me 25 13h	Me 25 14h	Me 25 15h	Me 25 16h	Me 25 17h	Me 25 18h	Me 25 19h	Me 25 20h	Me 25 21h	Je 26 5h	Je 26 6h	Je 26 7h	Je 26 8h	Je 26 9h	Je 26 10h	Je 26 11h	Je 26 12h	Je 26 13h	Je 26 14h	Je 26 15h	Je 26 16h	Je 26 17h	Je 26 18h	Je 26 19h	Je 26 20h	Je 26 21h	Ve 27 5h	Ve 27 6h	Ve 27 7h	Ve 27 8h	Ve 27 9h	Ve 27 10h	Ve 27 11h	Ve 27 12h	Ve 27 13h	Ve 27 14h	Ve 27 15h	Ve 27 16h	Ve 27 17h	Ve 27 18h	Ve 27 19h	Ve 27 20h	Ve 27 21h	Sa 28 5h	Sa 28 6h	Sa 28 7h	Sa 28 8h	Sa 28 9h	Sa 28 10h	Sa 28 11h	Sa 28 12h	Sa 28 13h	Sa 28 14h	Sa 28 15h	Sa 28 16h	Sa 28 17h	Sa 28 18h	Sa 28 19h	Sa 28 20h	Sa 28 21h	Di 29 5h	Di 29 6h	Di 29 7h	Di 29 8h	Di 29 9h	Di 29 10h	Di 29 11h	Di 29 12h	Di 29 13h	Di 29 14h	Di 29 15h	Di 29 16h	Di 29 17h	Di 29 18h	Di 29 19h	Di 29 20h	Di 29 21h	Lu 30 5h	Lu 30 6h	Lu 30 7h	Lu 30 8h	Lu 30 9h	Lu 30 10h	Lu 30 11h	Lu 30 12h	Lu 30 13h	Lu 30 14h	Lu 30 15h	Lu 30 16h	Lu 30 17h	Lu 30 18h	Lu 30 19h	Lu 30 20h	Lu 30 21h	Ma 1 5h	Ma 1 6h	Ma 1 7h	Ma 1 8h	Ma 1 9h	Ma 1 10h	Ma 1 11h	Ma 1 12h	Ma 1 13h	Ma 1 14h	Ma 1 15h	Ma 1 16h	Ma 1 17h	Ma 1 18h	Ma 1 19h	Ma 1 20h	Ma 1 21h	Me 2 5h	Me 2 6h	Me 2 7h	Me 2 8h	Me 2 9h	Me 2 10h	Me 2 11h	Me 2 12h	Me 2 13h	Me 2 14h	Me 2 15h	Me 2 16h	Me 2 17h	Me 2 18h	Me 2 19h	Me 2 20h	Me 2 21h
Dir. vent
V. moy. (mph)	10	8	10	10	10	9	7	6	4	2	3	5	3	2	0	2	4	5	6	6	5	4	5	5	9	10	8	9	8	9	8	7	7	7	8	7	7	6	5	5	5	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	10	10	10	10	10	9	8	8	7	7	8	8	9	9	9	9	9	10	8	5	5	6	9	10	10	10	3	1	2	3	5	6	7	7	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	7	5	2	3	3	3	4	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	6	7	11	11	11	10	9	9	8	7	7	6	4	3	2	2	2	2	2	1	2	4	5	6	6	7	8	8	8	8	8	7	7	7	7	7	5	5	5	6	7	8	8	9	10	10	10	10	9	9	8	7	6	1	0	1	2	3	4	6	7	8	8	8	8	8	7	7	7	8	12	13	12	12	12	13	14	15	17	17	17	16	15	14	13	12	10	6	6	7	7	7	7	8	8	8	8	9	9	9	9	8	8	7	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	4	4	5	5	7	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	6	6	5	5	4	6	7	8	9	10	12	13	14	14	14	13	13	13	12	9	6
V. max. (mph)	21	19	19	20	20	19	17	12	11	7	8	12	11	9	8	9	11	13	14	14	14	12	9	10	18	17	17	17	17	18	18	16	16	17	17	17	15	16	13	11	10	19	18	17	20	21	20	21	20	22	24	24	25	25	24	23	23	23	19	20	21	23	25	26	25	25	24	23	23	22	23	25	26	31	35	20	20	20	22	23	25	26	28	29	27	27	26	24	22	20	17	15	14	14	15	17	19	22	23	24	25	26	26	26	27	27	27	27	26	25	24	24	27	30	33	32	31	29	28	26	24	23	21	20	17	15	2	2	3	4	6	7	8	10	11	11	11	11	10	8	7	5	3	3	4	5	10	15	20	24	26	28	29	29	30	31	33	34	34	33	31	31	32	32	33	34	35	35	35	36	37	37	37	37	37	35	33	28	26	25	25	25	26	28	30	32	33	34	34	34	34	33	32	31	22	20	19	17	16	15	15	14	13	13	12	11	11	10	9	6	4	2	2	2	4	6	7	8	8	8	9	10	11	11	10	9	8	7	10	8	6	5	5	5	5	5	6	6	7	8	8	9	9	8	7	4	3	3	3	4	5	6	8	10	12	13	14	15	15	15	16	17
Temp. (°C)	17	17	17	16	15	14	13	11	12	13	15	15	17	18	19	21	22	22	22	22	21	21	20	18	12	12	14	15	16	18	19	20	21	22	23	23	23	23	23	21	20	14	14	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	22	22	22	21	20	19	15	15	16	17	18	20	21	22	22	22	21	21	20	20	20	20	19	15	16	17	17	18	19	19	20	20	20	20	20	19	18	17	16	15	9	10	12	14	17	19	21	22	23	24	24	25	25	25	24	24	23	16	16	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	24	25	25	24	23	22	15	15	15	16	16	17	17	18	18	18	18	17	16	16	15	14	14	13	13	13	14	15	15	16	17	17	17	17	17	17	17	16	15	14	11	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	18	18	18	18	18	17	17	16	13	14	14	14	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	14	14	13	13	12	9	10	10	11	11	12	13	14	15	15	15	15	14	14	13	13	12	8	9	9	10	12	13	14	15	16	17	17	17	17	17	17	16	15	11	11	11	11	12	13	14	15	16	16	17	17	17	17	17	16	15	8	9	10	12	13	14	15	15	16	16	16	16	16	15	14	13	11
Précip. (mm)																																																																				0.6	0.6	0.6	0.7	0.7	0.7																																					0.1	0.1	0.1							0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	6.2	6.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2																								0.2	0.2	0.8	0.8	0.8	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1												0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1
Nébul. tot. (%)	87		2		13	100	100	100	100	99	99	32																									59	1	99	100	92	41	30	23	28	38	41	30	13					3	8	12	14	16	19	14	14	20	31	43	58	75	87	91	90	86	80	71	61	48	35	77	86	89	80	65	50	36	22	12	6	3	11	38	76	98	91	68	36	37	36	32	27	21	13	5		2	8	14	20	27	30	27	21	13	20	28	38	50	61	72	82	90	94	96	96	95	93	90	86	80	82	87	90	88	84	79	74	70	66	65	65	65	66	67	69	73	78	72	66	59	51	43	35	28	22	19	21	27	34	42	50	58	64	70	100	100	100	91	78	66	54	42	35	35	39	45	51	59	64	66	65	74	76	74	67	57	47	37	27	20	19	22	26	30	34	37	36	34	4	1		2	6	11	16	21	25	27	27	27	27	26	26	27	28	44	47	47	45	41	37	34	31	31	37	46	55	64	74	81	83	82	79	80	81	82	84	85	86	86	84	80	74	67	60	52	44	37	30	68	77	85	90	95	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	90	79	69	75	80
Nébul. haute (%)	87		2		13	1	16	88	96	99	99	32																									59	1	99	100	92	54	34	17	8	3								10	23	36	49	61	77	58	46	47	54	62	72	83	91	91	88	86	93	100	100	73	34	99	97	96	100	100	100	70	28	1		14	32	54	81	100	100	100				9	20	26	18	5		12	32	52	72	91	100	92	73	18	29	40	51	62	73	83	93	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	87	69																															2	6	16	29	69	63	56	48	40	31	22	14	7	3	1																																							3	8	15	12	10	11	14	18	22	28	35	46	60	72	84	94	100	97	90	64	68	69	67	62	57	52	45	39	32	25	18	11	5				61	66	70	80	90	100	100	100	100	67	33					1	1
Nébul. moy. (%)																																										42	33	30	42	61	68	51	22					1	2	3						10	24	40	61	84	100	100	100	100	86	67	52	44	40	79	95	100	84	57	34	19	7				3	35	77	100	84	48				8	18	23	18	8										12	18	26	38	52	65	78	91	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	90	76				13	31	50	69	87	100	100	100	97	91	83	73	61	48										1	2	3	5	6	8	10	11	47	53	57	57	56	54	53	51	53	60	69	78	87	95	100	100	99	24	11	2							2	4	6	8	9	10	9	8																1	2	10	11	11	10	8	7	7	8	12	22	35	48	61	74	85	91	95	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	91	78	64	50	36	24	16	11	8	17	25	50	75	100	98	97	95	88	80	73	58	42	27	46	65
Nébul. basse (%)					1	100	100	100	89	1																																																																								4	10	13	10	4		2	6	9	9	8	41	43	40	28	12																												6	15	95	100	100	89	72	55	37	20	7	3	4	7	12	19	28	40	55	83	74	65	56	47	39	31	24	21	23	29	36	43	51	57	60	61	60	59	55	47	37	27	17	8	1				1	3	5	6	8	68	78	82	77	66	55	43	30	22	20	23	26	29	33	35	35	33	5	1		2	7	12	17	23	27	29	30	30	30	30	29	28	28	38	40	41	39	35	30	25	20	15	11	9	6	4	1							1	4	6	8	11	14	18	22	26	29	32	33	30	26	9	13	16	23	30	37	58	79	100	100	100	100	84	68	52	50	49
CAPE	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	140	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	10	50	90	120	100	60	30	10	10	0	0	0	-10	-20	0	80	190	270	280	260	330	620	1000	1160	840	300	280	180	110	50	10	0	60	150	200	170	100	40	20	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	10	30	60	100	150	240	380	560	730	890	1050	1150	1170	1140	240	100	0	-60	-90	-100	-90	-60	0	120	270	410	550	680	750	730	640	360	400	420	410	380	350	320	290	270	260	270	270	280	280	290	290	290	70	30	0	-10	-10	0	10	10	20	20	10	10	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	0	0	0	0	30	30	40	40	40	40	40	30	30	30	20	20	20	10	10	10	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	10	10	10	20	20	20	20	20	20	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-10	-10	0	10	20	30	40	60	80	100	120	140	160	170	170	150	130	0	0	0	0	0	0	10	10	20	20	20	20	10	10	0	0	0
Plafond (m)	1.2k	1.2k	1.2k	1.1k	960	801	606	496	557	667	875	1.1k	1.4k	1.5k	1.6k	1.8k	1.8k	1.8k	1.8k	1.7k	1.6k	1.5k	1.4k	1.1k	1.5k	1.3k	1.3k	1.4k	1.5k	1.6k	1.6k	1.6k	1.6k	1.6k	1.6k	1.6k	1.6k	1.6k	1.4k	1.2k	1.1k	1.1k	1.1k	1.1k	1.1k	1.1k	1.1k	1.2k	1.2k	1.3k	1.4k	1.5k	1.5k	1.5k	1.5k	1.5k	1.4k	1.4k	1.1k	1.1k	1.1k	1.1k	1.2k	1.2k	1.3k	1.3k	1.3k	1.3k	1.2k	1.1k	960	838	826	936	1.1k	1.1k	1.1k	1.2k	1.2k	1.2k	1.2k	1.1k	1.1k	1.1k	1.2k	1.2k	1.3k	1.2k	1.2k	1.1k	911	777	509	521	545	679	862	1.1k	1.2k	1.3k	1.4k	1.5k	1.5k	1.5k	1.5k	1.4k	1.4k	1.3k	1.2k	936	960	997	1.1k	1.2k	1.3k	1.4k	1.5k	1.6k	1.7k	1.7k	1.7k	1.7k	1.6k	1.5k	1.4k	1.2k	472	472	509	594	679	789	899	997	1.1k	1.1k	1.0k	972	899	826	753	692	655	509	533	557	618	692	777	862	948	1.0k	1.0k	1.0k	1.0k	1.0k	972	923	850	765	460	472	533	606	728	838	972	1.1k	1.2k	1.2k	1.2k	1.2k	1.1k	1.1k	1.0k	948	838	472	472	472	521	594	667	753	826	887	948	972	960	960	960	936	887	789	643	679	753	862	960	1.1k	1.2k	1.4k	1.4k	1.5k	1.4k	1.4k	1.3k	1.2k	1.1k	1.0k	899	472	472	533	655	789	972	1.2k	1.4k	1.6k	1.7k	1.7k	1.7k	1.7k	1.7k	1.6k	1.5k	1.4k	753	716	704	765	862	972	1.1k	1.2k	1.4k	1.4k	1.5k	1.5k	1.5k	1.5k	1.4k	1.3k	1.1k	606	606	643	789	997	1.2k	1.3k	1.3k	1.4k	1.4k	1.6k	1.6k	1.5k	1.3k	1.1k	887	667

Elevation: 467 meters This site is rarely used and primarily a soaring location with top landing only. Minimum Rating for Hang Gliding: CP Minimum Rating for Paragliding: CP Wind Direction: ENE - ESE (065° - 105°) Best Direction: East (085°) This site is accessible to all suitably insured hang glider and paraglider pilots, with permission from the Trustees of the Llanover Estate. Take-off: A 100-meter carry along the NE track leads to the take-off area, which is large, flat, and has a nicely rounded front. Be cautious of subsidence cracks near take-off, as they can be obscured by ground cover. Road Access: From the A465 'Heads of the Valleys' road, take the A4046 to Ebbw Vale, and continue south to Cwm. As you leave the village, turn right onto a single-track road alongside a commercial haulier's yard. Drive over the bridge and up the steep hill. Turn right at the top and continue past Manmoel until the tarmac road turns to a rough track. Drive on for another 30 meters until you reach the turning onto the common on the right-hand side. Parking: Park along the edge of the track. Do not drive onto the common. Landing: The top landing area is large, flat, and free from significant obstructions. There is also a large flat shoulder to the north of take-off, which can be turbulent if the wind is from the south. There is no suitable bottom landing field. Paraglider pilots can slope land on the front of the hill but should be aware of the rough ground. Hang glider pilots should decide early to land on the north shoulder if they cannot gain sufficient height to top land. Flying: This site is quite pleasant to fly when conditions are soarable. Wave is not uncommon, and good height gains are possible even in winter. It can be a good alternative to Pandy. Hazards: Be cautious of subsidence cracks near take-off. Other Rules: Please do not drive onto the common. Site Status: Open site - This site may be flown by suitably insured visiting hang glider and paraglider pilots, with permission from the Trustees of the Llanover Estate. For more information, visit: [Fly South Wales - Ebbw Vale](https://www.flysouthwales.co.uk/site-guides/ebbw-vale/) Watch videos of the site: [Video 1](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P_7vv2SSxNU) [Video 2](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m324PUo5d5U)

Modifier

Optimal Wind Direction

Optimal Speed (mph)

Modifier