default:

DMI HARMONIE

MF Arome 1.3

UKMO UK 2

DMI HARMONIE 2

MF Arome 2.5

KNMI EU 5.5

DWD ICON EU 7

UKMO Global 10

DWD ICON Global 11

MF Arpege EU 11

GFS global 13

GFS GRAPES 13

GEM Global 15

BOM ACCESS 15

GFS GraphCast 25

ECMWF IFS 25

ECMWF AIFS 28

ECMWF IFS 44

JMA gSM 55

MF Arpege 55

Model	DMI HARMONIE 2.5 km run: 16/06 10:42																																													IFS HD 2.5 km run: 16/06 10:42																																																																GFS 13 km run: 16/06 10:42
Date Optimal	Mo 16 7h	Mo 16 8h	Mo 16 9h	Mo 16 10h	Mo 16 11h	Mo 16 12h	Mo 16 13h	Mo 16 14h	Mo 16 15h	Mo 16 16h	Mo 16 17h	Mo 16 18h	Mo 16 19h	Mo 16 20h	Mo 16 21h	Tu 17 5h	Tu 17 6h	Tu 17 7h	Tu 17 8h	Tu 17 9h	Tu 17 10h	Tu 17 11h	Tu 17 12h	Tu 17 13h	Tu 17 14h	Tu 17 15h	Tu 17 16h	Tu 17 17h	Tu 17 18h	Tu 17 19h	Tu 17 20h	Tu 17 21h	We 18 5h	We 18 6h	We 18 7h	We 18 8h	We 18 9h	We 18 10h	We 18 11h	We 18 12h	We 18 13h	We 18 14h	We 18 15h	We 18 16h	We 18 17h	We 18 18h	We 18 19h	We 18 20h	We 18 21h	Th 19 5h	Th 19 6h	Th 19 7h	Th 19 8h	Th 19 9h	Th 19 10h	Th 19 11h	Th 19 12h	Th 19 13h	Th 19 14h	Th 19 15h	Th 19 16h	Th 19 17h	Th 19 18h	Th 19 19h	Th 19 20h	Th 19 21h	Fr 20 5h	Fr 20 6h	Fr 20 7h	Fr 20 8h	Fr 20 9h	Fr 20 10h	Fr 20 11h	Fr 20 12h	Fr 20 13h	Fr 20 14h	Fr 20 15h	Fr 20 16h	Fr 20 17h	Fr 20 18h	Fr 20 19h	Fr 20 20h	Fr 20 21h	Sa 21 5h	Sa 21 6h	Sa 21 7h	Sa 21 8h	Sa 21 9h	Sa 21 10h	Sa 21 11h	Sa 21 12h	Sa 21 13h	Sa 21 14h	Sa 21 15h	Sa 21 16h	Sa 21 17h	Sa 21 18h	Sa 21 19h	Sa 21 20h	Sa 21 21h	Su 22 5h	Su 22 6h	Su 22 7h	Su 22 8h	Su 22 9h	Su 22 10h	Su 22 11h	Su 22 12h	Su 22 13h	Su 22 14h	Su 22 15h	Su 22 16h	Su 22 17h	Su 22 18h	Su 22 19h	Su 22 20h	Su 22 21h	Mo 23 5h	Mo 23 6h	Mo 23 7h	Mo 23 8h	Mo 23 9h	Mo 23 10h	Mo 23 11h	Mo 23 12h	Mo 23 13h	Mo 23 14h	Mo 23 15h	Mo 23 16h	Mo 23 17h	Mo 23 18h	Mo 23 19h	Mo 23 20h	Mo 23 21h	Tu 24 5h	Tu 24 6h	Tu 24 7h	Tu 24 8h	Tu 24 9h	Tu 24 10h	Tu 24 11h	Tu 24 12h	Tu 24 13h	Tu 24 14h	Tu 24 15h	Tu 24 16h	Tu 24 17h	Tu 24 18h	Tu 24 19h	Tu 24 20h	Tu 24 21h	We 25 5h	We 25 6h	We 25 7h	We 25 8h	We 25 9h	We 25 10h	We 25 11h	We 25 12h	We 25 13h	We 25 14h	We 25 15h	We 25 16h	We 25 17h	We 25 18h	We 25 19h	We 25 20h	We 25 21h	Th 26 5h	Th 26 6h	Th 26 7h	Th 26 8h	Th 26 9h	Th 26 10h	Th 26 11h	Th 26 12h	Th 26 13h	Th 26 14h	Th 26 15h	Th 26 16h	Th 26 17h	Th 26 18h	Th 26 19h	Th 26 20h	Th 26 21h	Fr 27 5h	Fr 27 6h	Fr 27 7h	Fr 27 8h	Fr 27 9h	Fr 27 10h	Fr 27 11h	Fr 27 12h	Fr 27 13h	Fr 27 14h	Fr 27 15h	Fr 27 16h	Fr 27 17h	Fr 27 18h	Fr 27 19h	Fr 27 20h	Fr 27 21h	Sa 28 5h	Sa 28 6h	Sa 28 7h	Sa 28 8h	Sa 28 9h	Sa 28 10h	Sa 28 11h	Sa 28 12h	Sa 28 13h	Sa 28 14h	Sa 28 15h	Sa 28 16h	Sa 28 17h	Sa 28 18h	Sa 28 19h	Sa 28 20h	Sa 28 21h	Su 29 5h	Su 29 6h	Su 29 7h	Su 29 8h	Su 29 9h	Su 29 10h	Su 29 11h	Su 29 12h	Su 29 13h	Su 29 14h	Su 29 15h	Su 29 16h	Su 29 17h	Su 29 18h	Su 29 19h	Su 29 20h	Su 29 21h	Mo 30 5h	Mo 30 6h	Mo 30 7h	Mo 30 8h	Mo 30 9h	Mo 30 10h	Mo 30 11h	Mo 30 12h	Mo 30 13h	Mo 30 14h	Mo 30 15h	Mo 30 16h	Mo 30 17h	Mo 30 18h	Mo 30 19h	Mo 30 20h	Mo 30 21h	Tu 1 5h	Tu 1 6h	Tu 1 7h	Tu 1 8h	Tu 1 9h	Tu 1 10h	Tu 1 11h	Tu 1 12h	Tu 1 13h	Tu 1 14h	Tu 1 15h	Tu 1 16h	Tu 1 17h	Tu 1 18h	Tu 1 19h	Tu 1 20h	Tu 1 21h
Wind Dir.
Wind Spd. (mph)	5	4	5	5	6	7	6	7	7	6	6	6	7	7	6	8	7	5	7	7	6	7	7	7	8	9	9	9	8	8	7	6	8	7	7	4	1	2	4	4	4	4	3	5	4	4	6	5	5	5	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	5	5	6	6	7	8	9	9	9	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	9	8	7	8	8	10	9	9	10	11	12	12	12	13	13	12	12	11	10	9	9	9	9	9	8	7	7	7	8	8	9	8	7	6	5	4	4	4	4	6	5	5	4	2	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	4	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	6	6	6	7	8	7	6	4	1	2	5	8	10	11	12	12	11	11	10	10	9	7	8	9	9	10	11	12	12	13	13	12	12	11	11	10	10	11	11	11	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	13	13	13	13	13	13	12	11	12	12	12	13	13	13	13	13	12	12	11	10	10	9	8	6	3	4	5	7	8	9	10	11	12	12	13	12	12	12	11	9	7	8	8	7	8	8	9	10	11	12	12	12	12	11	11	11	11	11	4	3	3	2	2	3	5	8	10	11	11	11	11	11	11	9	6
Gusts (mph)	12	12	13	14	16	18	18	18	18	18	17	15	17	17	16	18	18	16	17	19	18	19	20	19	21	23	23	23	22	20	19	18	18	17	17	17	11	9	11	12	13	13	11	14	14	12	12	11	11	13	12	13	13	13	13	14	15	15	16	16	17	16	16	15	13	11	12	11	11	12	13	14	16	18	20	20	19	19	17	16	15	12	9	13	15	18	10	11	13	14	15	17	17	17	18	17	16	15	12	9	7	7	7	8	9	10	12	14	16	17	18	19	19	18	17	16	15	8	7	6	9	11	14	15	16	18	28	29	29	29	28	28	27	27	29	29	28	27	26	26	26	26	26	26	27	27	27	27	24	18	9	4	5	6	7	8	8	9	10	10	11	11	11	11	12	11	8	5	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	2	3	4	4	4	3	2	1	2	2	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	3	2	2	3	4	6	8	10	12	13	14	14	14	14	15	17	17	13	8	4	4	5	7	11	13	14	14	14	13	13	11	10	7	5	3	2	3	3	3	2	2	2	3	4	5	4	4	4	6	9	11	10	9	2	2	2	2	4	5	7	9	11	12	12	13	13	14	14	10	6
Temp. (°C)	12	13	14	15	16	16	17	17	17	17	17	17	16	15	14	9	9	10	12	13	14	15	16	17	17	16	16	16	15	15	14	13	11	12	13	15	16	17	18	19	20	20	22	22	21	21	18	17	16	10	11	12	13	15	16	17	19	20	21	21	22	22	22	21	20	19	13	13	13	14	15	16	17	19	20	21	21	22	21	21	20	19	18	11	11	12	13	15	17	18	20	21	22	23	23	23	22	22	21	20	14	14	15	16	18	20	21	23	24	25	25	24	24	23	23	22	20	14	15	15	16	18	19	21	23	24	25	25	25	25	25	25	24	23	17	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	26	26	26	26	25	24	16	15	15	16	16	16	17	17	18	18	18	17	17	17	17	16	15	13	13	13	13	13	14	14	14	15	15	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	13	13	13	14	15	15	16	16	17	17	16	16	15	15	14	13	13	10	10	11	11	12	13	14	15	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	15	14	12	12	12	12	12	13	13	13	13	13	14	14	14	14	14	14	13	10	10	10	11	12	12	13	14	15	15	15	14	14	14	13	13	12	12	12	13	15	17	18	19	21	21	21	21	21	20	18	17	15	12
Rain (mm)																																																																																																																																										0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5							0.1	0.1				1.5	1.5	1.5	1.5	1.5	1.5	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1			0.5	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	1.4	1.4	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1																							0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1				0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1							0.1	0.1
Cloud Cov. (%)	95	99	70	98	52	63	18	13	6	5				2	38	99		1	32	23	35	70	95	44	71	100		49	100	100	42	98	93	95	94	85	34	34	19	21	99	42						1	2										10	24	32	26	14	9	19	37	83	85	83	73	59	45	28	12	7	26	57	79	81	73	67	70	74	12	11	9	6	3					1	4	7	14	22	26	20	10	44	55	60	58	51	43	35	26	20	17	16	17	19	22	28	39	53	85	79	75	76	80	84	87	90	90	86	79	72	64	55	46	37	28	24	32	38	42	45	47	49	52	55	60	67	73	79	85	89	90	90	81	80	78	76	73	70	67	65	63	63	64	65	66	68	70	73	77	77	74	73	75	78	82	86	90	93	95	97	98	99	100	100	100	100	94	92	91	91	92	92	92	90	86	77	65	53	41	29	20	17	16	11	9	8	10	13	17	21	26	30	34	38	41	44	45	45	42	36	22	26	32	42	55	67	79	92	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	93	82	14	11	13	21	32	44	56	69	79	84	86	87	87	86	85	84	83	51	46	42	38	35	31	22	13	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	6
High Cloud (%)	91	94	61	96	31									2	38	99						68	95	44	71	100		49	100	100	42	98	93	95	94	85	34			8	99	42						3	9										11	26	36	34	26	28	49	78	94	85	78	76	76	71	55	35	24	32	49	64	70	74	77	86	95													7	17	23	20	12				5	12	20	28	37	45	52	57	63	68	73	78	83	89	75	68	65	69	77	84	91	98	100	96	88	79	69	58	48	38	29	26	34	40	42	42	42	43	44	47	55	65	75	85	94	100	100	97	85	84	80	69	55	40	25	10													6	14	22	30	38	45	51	56	59	61	62	59	52	41																					2	5	8	11	13	15	15	14	12	10	8	6	4	3				3	8	13	18	24	31	40	51	60	68	74	75	67	53	9	15	23	32	42	52	61	70	76	79	79	77	74	70	63	54	42	22	28	35	31	28	24	16	8					2	3	5	4	4
Mid Cloud (%)																																																											12	27	35	26	10	1	8	23	93	100	100	85	61	40	20	2		28	71	100	99	84	72	73	77	20	18	15	10	4					2	6	11	19	29	32	24	10	76	92	100	93	78	61	43	24	10	3	1			2	7	16	28	81	80	81	85	90	94	97	100	100	96	89	81	72	63	53	43	32	26	35	43	49	53	57	61	65	69	74	80	85	90	95	98	100	100	94	90	83	70	53	37	22	7		4	15	27	40	53	63	66	64	56	57	60	64	70	75	80	85	89	90	90	89	88	86	84	82	80	53	50	49	51	55	58	61	63	62	55	43	32	20	8													5	12	19	26	32	36	37	35	43	48	54	62	71	80	88	96	100	100	97	93	87	80	71	60	47				9	21	34	47	60	71	79	85	89	92	93	90	82	70	3	4	5	6	6	7	6	4	3	4	4	5	3	2		1	1
Low Cloud (%)	48	88	24	37	30	63	18	13	6	5								1	32	23	35	5	1								1							34	19	14																																																																												5	12	19	13	8	5	3	2	1																													1	5	15	28	40	52	63	70	69	63	56	49	41	36	38	43	50	46	42	38	35	32	30	28	29	32	37	43	49	55	61	66	70	74	71	68	66	64	62	60	57	54	49	44	38	32	27	23	21	21	12	10	9	11	14	18	22	25	28	29	29	29	28	26	24	21	16				4	11	18	25	33	42	53	65	75	84	92	96	93	85	16	10	7	6	7	9	11	14	15	14	12	11	11	11	14	22	32	29	14
CAPE	0	0	0	10	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	10	0	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	300	390	450	470	470	460	450	440	460	520	600	670	730	790	800	740	640	230	260	290	330	370	420	470	520	580	660	750	830	890	940	930	830	660	-70	-40	0	40	100	160	230	310	400	530	670	790	900	990	1000	900	720	40	110	180	250	330	410	480	550	600	620	610	600	580	540	500	440	370	80	90	90	80	60	50	40	30	20	20	30	30	30	40	40	40	50	20	10	10	20	30	40	50	60	70	70	60	50	40	30	20	20	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	0	0	0	10	10	20	20	30	30	30	30	30	30	20	20	20	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Ceiling (m)	408	469	567	689	762	750	847	908	933	933	957	957	847	750	689	457	506	567	652	738	823	872	896	982	957	872	872	884	847	774	689	616	396	433	555	689	872	835	933	945	1.1k	1.2k	1.5k	1.5k	1.6k	1.5k	1.2k	1.1k	896	713	701	725	799	896	1.0k	1.1k	1.2k	1.3k	1.3k	1.4k	1.4k	1.4k	1.4k	1.4k	1.3k	1.2k	811	884	945	994	1.1k	1.1k	1.2k	1.3k	1.4k	1.5k	1.7k	1.7k	1.6k	1.5k	1.4k	1.4k	1.4k	982	835	750	762	847	982	1.2k	1.4k	1.7k	1.8k	2.0k	2.0k	2.0k	1.9k	1.8k	1.8k	1.8k	1.0k	982	957	1.0k	1.1k	1.3k	1.4k	1.5k	1.6k	1.5k	1.5k	1.4k	1.3k	1.1k	1.0k	872	750	384	420	494	591	701	811	957	1.1k	1.2k	1.3k	1.3k	1.4k	1.4k	1.3k	1.3k	1.2k	1.2k	786	774	799	860	945	1.0k	1.1k	1.2k	1.3k	1.4k	1.4k	1.5k	1.5k	1.5k	1.5k	1.4k	1.3k	725	701	689	664	664	664	664	689	689	689	713	713	725	725	689	640	567	335	347	372	408	445	481	542	579	591	579	530	494	445	408	384	347	359	384	384	408	469	542	591	677	762	823	884	872	896	908	896	896	860	811	567	567	603	701	847	957	1.1k	1.3k	1.4k	1.5k	1.5k	1.5k	1.5k	1.5k	1.4k	1.3k	1.1k	591	640	652	689	677	713	713	713	725	713	664	616	579	530	481	469	457	506	530	567	628	701	774	847	896	945	969	969	982	945	908	872	786	725	1.3k	1.2k	1.1k	1.1k	1.1k	1.1k	1.3k	1.4k	1.6k	1.6k	1.5k	1.4k	1.3k	1.2k	1.0k	823	652

Located in South East Wales, UK, this paragliding site is primarily for members of the SE Wales Hang Gliding and Paragliding Club and the Welsh Free Flight Federation. The site stands at an elevation of 356 meters and is best flown in a south wind direction (180°). For vehicular access, take the A467 from Newport or Brynmawr, then the B4591 to Crosskeys. Turn right at the first set of traffic lights, then second left into Cobden St. Continue to the sports fields, then turn right into Blackvein Rd. Follow this narrow road up the steep hill, over the cattle grid, and half a mile later, turn left through the gate to reach the take-off area. If the gate is locked, contact Mr. Sutor at the adjacent farm. For foot access, follow the A468 from Newport or Caerphilly, then take minor roads from Lower Machen. Park at the large viewpoint car park for foot access or at the side of the track to take-off for vehicular access, just before the transmitter mast. Do not obstruct the track or drive onto the common. The take-off area requires a long carry on foot from the viewpoint car park or a short carry over rough ground from the parking area by the transmitter. The South take-off is shallow and over tall trees, making it unsuitable for paragliders. The steep NE take-off is more suitable for paragliders but is rarely used by hang gliders. Top land on the flat ground alongside the transmitter mast. There is no true bottom landing on the NE side, but shoulder landings are possible near the viewpoint car park. For the South face, bottom landings are possible at Machen sports field, though the approach is difficult due to nearby obstacles. Another larger field to the SW of take-off requires a long glide over a quarry and should not be used if it is in crop. Pre-flight checks are advisable as neither field can be seen from take-off. This site can be turbulent in strong winds and is best flown in lighter conditions. Hazards include tall trees on the South side, rotor on the NE take-off, and the TV mast and buildings on top of the hill. For more information, visit: https://www.flysouthwales.co.uk/site-guides/machen/

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Optimal Wind Direction

Optimal Speed (mph)

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